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2007 Technology Predictions
Benjamin J. Higginbotham

Happy 2007! I think it's once again time to jump on the prediction bandwagon, so here we go...

1 - The war for the living room will begin, but not much will actually come of it. Apple will release their iTV (or whatever they will call it) product and a few more contenders will enter the scene. We will only see the beginnings of the living room war, but nothing more.

2 - Vista will actually ship. Made this prediction for 2006, missed it by about a month. It's currently slated to ship Jan 30th, also known as Benjamin's birthday.

3 - Leopard will ship. Many of Vista's features will be put to shame by Leopard, but nothing so ground-breaking that Apple suddenly gets 10% marketshare in a year.

4 - We will see a slight increase in the amount of video netcasting, but nothing too dramatic. New netcasters will enter the scene, but this won't be the year that a new form of media between YouTube and Broadcast (yet to be named) truly makes it mark. We're still a ways off for this new media to take hold, but I think it may get a name this year and will begin to take a form of sorts.

5 - Apple will release a real video iPod that has a widescreen and is more of a video player than a music player. It may or may not maintain the name 'iPod'.

6 - TiVo will release an upgrade to their Series 3 product that will bring it on par featurewise to the Series 2.

7 - The 'next generation' gaming console war will end. Everyone will realize that it's not about the hardware, it's about the content. Notice I didn't say games. These consoles will start to make their play in the living room content war, but will do so very poorly.

8 - HD-DVD and BluRay will not gain enough traction to offset traditional DVD sales this year. I believe we'll start to see BluRay start to come out ahead of HD-DVD from a content perspective. Hopefully the new BluRay titles will start to show up encoded as h.264 and not MPEG2. To add on to this, I think we'll see a 50GB BluRay disc of sorts in actual production, but I may be a bit early for this.

9 - This one is a bit out there and a risky prediction. I think HDTV saturation in the US will reach critical mass. We'll see a huge push for new HD technology and so many homes will have HD that the SD guys will look old and silly. I could be a year or possibly two years early here.

10 - My post count on Technology Evangelist will increase dramatically in text, audio and video. Users will rip into me whenever they disagree in the slightest which will force me to grow a much thicker skin. After a few months I won't take negative feedback as personally and the quality of my posts and stream of consciousness (or brain to blog translation) will improve. By the end of the year I'll love any feedback, positive or negative.




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Comments

1. Posted by: Peter on January 1, 2007 11:26 AM:

HD-DVD is a ridiculous format, a waste of time and money. Blu-Ray will stamp all over HD-DVD, and in 2-3 years time, everyone will laugh at HD-DVD. What a joke.




2. Posted by: Ed Kohler on January 1, 2007 1:52 PM:

Peter, why do you think Blu-Ray will win? Tech advantages? Content partnerships? Otehr?




3. Posted by: Robert on January 1, 2007 5:10 PM:

The first 8 predictions are pretty much 'the current status quo will continue with no significant change'. Just to add a bit of spice, how about some predictions about what will be different in 2007?




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