Full Transcript:
Larry Irving: I am Larry Irving and I am with the Internet Innovation Alliance
(IIA) which is a coalition of non-profit corporation and think tanks. All of
them are dedicated to developing broadband applications for the internet.
Benjamin Higginbotham: Could you define that and give a real world example of
developing broadband applications for the internet?
Larry Irving: We are talking about how do people get video and audio over the
Internet. People using YouTube and MySpace, also networking people who are
gamers who are using things, people using things like Second Life and other
emerging types of applications on the net. More and more people are doing more
and more things that require a lot of bandwidth. They don’t think of it in
terms of bandwidth, they think it is Internet, but the reality is the Internet
which is really built for email and short messages, increasingly it’s been
used for audio, video, photos. 400 million digital cameras sold in the
country, 600 million camera phones are sold in this country, all of those are
connecting to the net, all of those using same backbone, that backbone wasn’t
made for that.
Benjamin Higginbotham: Now interestingly enough, we streamed your keynote live
earlier today and we had a chat room open and one of the people asked in the
chat room “why would I need fiber into my home” because you are specifically
talking about fiber at the home, “I’ve got my cable connection come in and I
have a plenty of bandwidth, I get HD on my cable what’s the point?”
Larry Irving: Reality is, it may not be fiber at the home, but you certainly
want broadband and you want more capacious broadband. You want broadband
because right now you can, 5, 6 MegaHertz bits per second is enough for most
people, but if you online downloading a video on-demand with High Definition
television is, your daughter is watching IPTv, your son is skyping and your
wife is sending photos to her mom of the grand kids, you don’t have enough
capacity in your home for all of the applications at same time and all of us
beginning to do that. Then the reality is just the ramp, that on ramp is
getting increasingly congested. If your neighbor down the street is also has
three or four people also using bandwidth intensive, they need more capacity
and anyone in that block to five or six house in a block, they download to the
kind of the main artery of the internet coming out of your block that also
need more capacity. Each of us if we think with individually are doing things
on the net very differently, we use to. We use to do e-mail, just exchange
relatively small files, then we started downloading iTunes into our iPod
that’s a slightly bigger file, now we are doing video, that’s a slightly a
bigger file and they may go to video on that’s High Definition, that’s going
to be a bigger file and it is not going to be one person in a house, it will
be three or four people in the house, all of the sudden that starts to clog
that line.
Benjamin Higginbotham: So let’s start with the backbone of the Internet, where
all the Internet traffic goes and then lets move forward from the all the way
up into the house, the backbone of the internet primarily right now, is
OC 198's and a few 192’s, what’s the next step after that and how full is the
backbone today?
Larry Irving: We had a surplus of backbone capacity from the golden ages of
the internet we all talk with all the dot fibers out there, we are spending
now that capital at a rapid rate as more-more video applications. We are
looking at possibly I think as the OC-768 and we are going to get there in
next two years, it going to require billions of dollars investment and we have
to make sure that the right centers are in place for that investment. The
backbone capacity, its peek versus non-peek, at peek times your are close to
filling out to that fell off and that’s kind of the problem. We are not there
yet, but we will be there very shortly. When you look at the changing patterns
of use Internet, we have 50% of kids having streamed once a day and under 18
its 50%, 15 to 18 its 50%, 18 to 24 all under 50%, 24 to 35 its approaching
50% that’s once a month. Its going to become a habit, as those numbers start
getting up and it is the streamy, they are going to fill the backbone up. You
have to think prospectively and that’s what we are trying to get people to
think, backbone is filling up, we need to get more capacity, no you have no
debate about that in Washington. You had little debate about that in the
industry, it is nothing on the public media, the reason we coined the term
Exaflood, was to give people on easy way of thinking about what happening to
all of the on and off ramp in the backbone and need for us to start thinking
and I really relatively compressed time frame what we need to do? It is not
going to be tomorrow, but the day after tomorrow, because we are looking at
some real problems in terms of buffering and slowing down.
Benjamin Higginbotham: Do we need other solutions as well as such as quality
of service and eliminating that neutrality?
Larry Irving: We don’t want to get involved in the neutrality debate, we are
not involved in it, we have no neutrality debate, because no neutrality debate
in many ways a tangential debate, what we are talking about. Business people
make their businesses they need to make and regular as like a regulatory
models they need to make on that side of it. What we need to make sure is we
have the right regulatory models, maximizing in signing investment and
maximizing in competition breaking the barriers, we want a wireless network.
What we are going to do about tower sighting, it is an issue everybody is a
nimbi and I understand that in one level and then we all want that wireless
capacity, therefore we charge taxes for the internet and telecommunications
that exceeded only by only by alcohol, gambling and tobacco. Well, most of us
say that the alcohol, excessive alcohol drinking, excessive gambling and any
use of tobacco could be harmful, no one thinks of using telecommunications by
definition harmful, if we tax them in the same way. Let’s start talking with
the policy that we need to certain investment to get this thing build out and
to make sure that the Americans have the kind of Internet experience, the kind
of broadband experience they expect.
Benjamin Higginbotham: No that we have already got good junk of fiber already
laid in the ground and now we have already got the actual physical lines in
the ground isn’t it, just as simple as switching on equipment on either side
to essentially boost that fiber?
Larry Irving: Two things one fiber does a finite life, so fiber that one at
ground 5, 10 years ago won’t have the same propagation characteristics it
won’t be as good, just as the other technologies improved, fiber has improved.
The second thing is that it is not the simply changing out of electronics,
because they not necessarily compatible. So, we are looking at you can look at
different configurations, different types of fibers and in fact fiber does
have a useful life beyond what, it can’t be pushed. So, all of those things
say that in some instances we can just rectify it, in some instances we are
going to have to put new and some instances fiber hasn’t been laid, all kind
of communities in this country, most of them are fiber connected, but not all
of been now. We have communities that are 4 – 5 years old, where the
infrastructure to those communities isn’t fiber, I mean it has to be, but may
be it should be and we again, our technology agnostic, some of our members and
our coax of our members are cabled, some of our members are fiber, some of
wireless. We think that there are lots of solutions in the market place and
the consumer determines the solutions, we just want to say the investment
made, so the people are making inform choices and making right choice for
them, their family and their community.
Benjamin Higginbotham: So the steps as I understand them, we need to increase
the backbone and I think that should be fairly important because you can
increase the level from the curb to the home or you want you could have 20
gigabits going between the two, but as the backbone can’t handle that traffic
what’s the point? But, conversely…
Larry Irving: Where is it, if you have 20 gigabit going to every home, it
won’t be if the backbone can handle it, the backbone guaranteed won’t be able
to handle it. So, as you increase the on ramps you got to increase that’s how
charge the free way. Imagine if you had 55 on ramps all of which you are
getting filled to a free way that have three ramps/three lines, it isn’t going
to work for very long. So, you have to come in simultaneous commitment, let’s
increase the size of the on-ramps of the home and as you are doing that, let’s
ensure that the backbone is sufficient to handle it.
Benjamin Higginbotham: We could have the same issues we have using the same
chronology, where I know in our area, in Minneapolis same power work extend
road laid twice as many lanes and as soon as we had those lanes, it took so
long to get the lanes in there, that they are immediately full again.
Larry Irving: We could get there, we are going to have certain leap frogging
and thinking very and that’s why my Michel Jordan played the way the ball is
going to be, make some sense. You can start doing some analysis and the
reality of the Internet, we always underestimate it. If you talk to people in
2000, the Internet was history, invasion super high ago, these guys had the
.com burst, we are using the Internet in ways we never conceived of using it
and two years ago, none of us would ever heard of YouTube, three years ago
none sort of MySpace, four years ago Slingbox, what the heck was a Slingbox.
Voodoo, I mention a word Voodoo, so again what you are talking about with
Voodoo? Voodoo is a new video on-demand application that may be to video
on-demand with mosaic was to browse the Google was to search, I don’t know may
be some other company like Kimbow, DAVE.tv or may be somebody else, but all of
these brilliant young entrepreneurs and engineers and web designers has come
along new tools that changed the experience for the better, for the consumer,
which means that we use the web in a way we did it for using it and increases
our demand on the web. That’s phenomenal let’s design assuming that we are
underestimating how people are going to use it, but within a constraints of
what is a reasonable investment for corporation. Again this is all about
private sector incentives, really not as much about government act and so much
as government policy.
Benjamin Higginbotham: Can’t the connection from the curb to the home be use
as a artificial bottle neck to ensure that we don’t actually fill up the
backbone too much? I mentioned 20 gigabits to the home, of course it will fill
up the backbone, because I know that we are doing High Definition video
online, that the files are freak and huge, it is enables lot of people to
start downloading it, fills up the backbone, now we have a problem, but if we
only have say one megabit to every home, well now every home is bottle neck
down, they can’t download as fast, doesn’t that help protect the
infrastructure?
Larry Irving: So, we constrain innovation, we constrain investment, we
constrain competitiveness, we constrain education, we constrain first
responder response time. Now, you want just to grow organically, you want to
go the way it is going through, this is an opportunity to do good things for
consumer to create incredible opportunity and economic development. If we
constrain our backbone, they are not going to constrain in European Union, not
constraining in Asia, they are not constraining it in Africa, or Latin
America. They are building networks and we are competing out, so we are
competing, we are learning against these folks, if we are going to stay
competitive with nation, if we are going to continue to grow our economy, we
have to continue growing this information infra structure. There information
infra structure is important as waterways going to 1,700, it is as important
as Railroad run 1,800, it is important as the interstate highway with 1,900.
It is something that’s crucial to economic competitiveness, but it is also
everything else we do. It is how kids interpret to their grand parents, about
how students interpret their teacher, there is thing called teacher tool, it
is YouTube for teachers, it is a phenomenal experience. They are daily report
cards that parents can get from their school, all this is web based. When I
was kid, the last thing I want with the daily report card from my teacher, but
given the state of education in this country there are some parents who want
that. We don’t want to constrain any of that, I want to make sure every
teacher has every tool that needs, every doctor has every tool he or she
needs, every kid that sits in a small road town of South Dakota is able to
access the library of congress, it is his favorite museum, his favorite
composure, stands of universities, online library all of those things should
be available. You constrain these things artificially, those are kind of thing
you constrain.
Benjamin Higginbotham: So, in order to stay competitive in a world market
place and in earth that growing continually smaller and smaller, from what I
hear, you say Up grade the backbone, upgrade the curb, upgrade the home.
Larry Irving: And understand what the exploit is all about. Again, we want to
see all those things happen, we want to see upgrade, we want to see investment
and we want the American people to understand why this is so important and
when they understand, when you send information of highway with the term they
didn’t last, but it got people think about what is this thing really mean? And
it became the Internet. Certain things will come symbolic, become emblematic
of change of progress. We think the Extra flood is emblematic of the progress
presentation need to make. We need to flood these networks with more and new
applications and flood policy make us with the understanding, that they need
to do the right thing for us to make sure we have the opportunity.
Benjamin Higginbotham: Where can a consumer who is interested in this, go for
more information?
Larry Irving: Internetinnovation.org, that’s our website, we have a broadband
fact book that will tell them lot of things and one of the things we hope
people who are watching or hearing or listening to this will do, is send us
factoids, send us information, look at our facts books and say, “you know
what? I know something interesting that other in the country or people around
the world need to know. Here is a fact that you don’t know how people are
using the net or capacity or fiber or wireless” whatever that interesting
broadband fact is, send it to us. We will get it online and when we do our
next publication we will put in the hard band.