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Ed's 2008 Technology Predictions
Ed Kohler
We're 3.65 days into 2008 and I haven't done a predictions post yet. With 99% of the year left, here it is.

While I'm proud of my success rate with 2007 predictions, this year I'm going to shoot for something closer to a 50% record. To do that, I'm going to go for predictions that I believe will happen, but may not make it by the end of this year.
  1. Netflix will deliver more content digitally than via mail in December 2008.
  2. Google will enable video-specific advertising for YouTube videos.
  3. Apple will drop Apple TV for the Mac Mini and a Mini will be available for $499.
  4. A usable wireless keyboard with touch pad will make couch surfing on a TV fun.
  5. Google Docs will add "export as .ppt" making the Presentations application awesome.
  6. Yahoo will buy Zoho and build a business suite around that and Zimbra.
  7. A team of striking writers with non-Hollywood backing will create an online show that blows away what we've seen to date.
  8. The biggest news stories of the 2008 US presidential election will consistenly break on blogs, Twitter, and YouTube rather than mainstream media sites.
  9. The biggest trend in YouTube videos will be how-to dance steps for popular songs. It will start to influence wedding song requests.
  10. The Wall Street Journal's online edition will go free well before the November election. Influence will trump revenue short-term.



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Comments

1. Posted by: Waqas Ahmed on January 4, 2008 5:25 PM:

Number 4 on this list already exists:

http://www.amazon.com/Logitech-967685-0403-diNovo-Edge/dp/B000J43HJ8




2. Posted by: Ed Kohler on January 4, 2008 11:53 PM:

Fair point, Wagas. Personally, I think the wireless keyboards on the market today all suck. That one is pretty good. Adesso has some that aren't bad either. But none of them have become must-have solutions for couch surfing.




3. Posted by: jules on January 5, 2008 8:36 AM:

I like your prediction about the Hollywood writers. At some point, perhaps the audience will turn to something new, simply because they can't possibly watch another re-run of America's Next Top Model.
:-)
Happy New Year!!




4. Posted by: Mark Eibner on January 5, 2008 10:36 AM:

Hey Ed- Oracle Man- I will buy my stocks and base my life around your statements and others should too!!. #4 does exist and I own it, but it does not exist or function the way Ed would want it to. Theres no doubt that breaking news is now online and off the Tube...good call. Ron Paul is proving that the people and the net can be in control if we choose to be. Good post.




5. Posted by: Ed Kohler on January 5, 2008 10:17 PM:

This is what I had in mind for #4.

I haven't had a chance to try it yet, but I really liked the form factor when i had a chance to play with it at the CES show. It looks like it would work well as a controller for arrowing through content. Perhaps less so as a keyboard since it's halfway between being a thumb driven device and a full sized keyboard.




6. Posted by: James on January 8, 2008 7:50 PM:

I'd go further with #8: The winning candidates and possibly even the next president will be decided by those who know how to make use of the internet for publicity better.




7. Posted by: Joel on April 18, 2008 10:24 AM:

I've seen some video presentations on cds where when one plays it, the sender of the cd gets an immediate email saying it is being viewed by the recipient. Have you ever heard of this concept or direct me to get more info on it?

Many thanks,
Joel




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